The Sony rental vs WBD ownership comparison really crystallizes why the market is mispricing this deal. Seven billion to borrow content temporarily vs buying the enire library forever is a calculation most spreadsheet analysts miss. Ive been watching the ad tier fill rate data too and 45% leaves so much room to run before they need to worry about inventory limits. Kinda feels like the market is punishing them for being bold instead of safe.
Thanks for reading and subscribing, Neural Foundry! Agreed that the $7 billion Sony deal with Netflix is certainly a “sanity check” on the current market value for what a premiere global movie studio can fetch for its IP on the largest streaming platforms. It is not a perfect comp - but I like looking for these alternative comps to help me understand valuation outside of P/E multiples. And yes - Netflix advertising has a lot of room to run before they run out of inventory. Will see what happens!
Another great deep dive into Netflix earnings.
Thanks for reading and subscribing, Rigatoni Capital! Let me know if any questions, definitely a lot of fun moving pieces going on with $NFLX
The Sony rental vs WBD ownership comparison really crystallizes why the market is mispricing this deal. Seven billion to borrow content temporarily vs buying the enire library forever is a calculation most spreadsheet analysts miss. Ive been watching the ad tier fill rate data too and 45% leaves so much room to run before they need to worry about inventory limits. Kinda feels like the market is punishing them for being bold instead of safe.
Thanks for reading and subscribing, Neural Foundry! Agreed that the $7 billion Sony deal with Netflix is certainly a “sanity check” on the current market value for what a premiere global movie studio can fetch for its IP on the largest streaming platforms. It is not a perfect comp - but I like looking for these alternative comps to help me understand valuation outside of P/E multiples. And yes - Netflix advertising has a lot of room to run before they run out of inventory. Will see what happens!